Looking at Wes Welker’s numbers, you would expect him to receive
a big payday this offseason. Welker has been the New England Patriots’ most
productive receiver over the past five years but there are a couple of factors
that may determine if he receives that big payday or not.
Welker has caught at least 100 catches or more in four of
the five years he has played in New England but how much of that production
comes from playing in the Patriots system? The way he is utilized and of course
having Tom Brady as your quarterback helps a lot in amassing impressive numbers
like Welker’s.
It also doesn’t hurt having all of the other talented
receivers around like Deion Branch, Randy Moss, Rob Gronkowski, and Aaron
Hernandez over the years. Welker usually lines up off the line which helps him
avoid getting jammed at the line of scrimmage allowing him to get into his
routes seamlessly.
Why is it so important to keep him off the line? Well that’s
another one of those factors that teams will look at when deciding how much to
pay him. Welker is only 5’9”. While being that short has never been a detriment
for the Carolina Panthers’ Steve Smith, most would agree that Smith is a freak
of nature possessing insane strength and speed in such a compact body.
Speed and strength are two things that are not usually
associated with Welker though. Welker was overlooked by teams in the 2004 draft
because of his height and his 4.61 speed. He wasn’t even invited to the draft
combine that year.
History is also not on Welker’s side. Wide receivers have
not been as productive playing for other teams after leaving the Patriots’
system. Another historical factor is how the Patriots have dealt with some of
their free agents. When it came time for Richard Seymour, Deion Branch and Randy
Moss to cash in, the Patriots traded them.
If the Patriots don’t think they can afford Welker then he
may be gone but there is always the possibility that Welker may sign for
something the Patriots feel is more reasonable. Especially if Welker tests the
market and no team is willing to bite on his asking price.
Roosevelt Hall is an NFL Blogger for The Sport Mentalist and also writes for both The Penalty Flag and Outside The Redzone. He can be contacted at RHall_TPFB@Yahoo.com. Follow him on Twitter @Sportmentalist.
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